Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that is what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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